PRIME Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party experienced a four-point increase in support in June, but is still 14 points behind Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party, according to the latest Leger survey conducted between June 21 and June 23.
If a federal election were to be held today, 41% of Canadians would vote for the Conservatives, while 27% would vote for the Liberals.
The survey also found that a quarter of Canadians (26%) think Poilievre is the leader who would make the best Prime Minister among the federal party leaders, ahead of Trudeau (19%) and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh (14%).
However, Poilievre has experienced a decrease of two points compared to last month, while Trudeau experienced an increase of three points.
Other highlights:
* Two-thirds of Canadians (65%) are dissatisfied with Trudeau’s government, compared to only a third (29%) who are satisfied.
* Opinions on the NDP-Liberal parliamentary agreement are divided: 38% of Canadians think it has been a good thing for the country, while 37% think it has been a bad thing for Canada, and a quarter (26%) don’t know. Conservative voters (75%) are more likely to think this agreement has been a bad thing for the country. Only 60% of NDP supporters say it’s been a good thing.
* Since the NDP-Liberal arrangement has been in place, one out of five Canadians (20%) think their impression of the NDP and Jagmeet Singh has improved, 32% think it has worsened and, 36% think it has not changed. NDP voters (41%) and Liberal voters (37%) are more likely to have an improved impression, while Conservative voters are more likely to have a worsened impression (63%).
* A majority of Canadians (71%) think it is important to like the leader of the political party they plan on voting for in an election. This proportion is significantly higher among Quebecers (79%), females (74%), liberal voters (79%) and Bloc Québécois voters (90%). Female voters are more likely to agree liking the leader is important compared to males.
Foreign Electoral Interference
Three quarters of Canadians (74%) believe that the names of any MPs allegedly involved in supporting foreign interference in our elections should be made public. This belief is notably higher among Conservative voters (84%), but even 78% of governing Liberal supporters believe the names should be released.
Other highlights:
* 68% of Canadians generally trust the results of elections in Canada, while 19% generally do not trust them and 12% are unsure. Those proportions are similar to the ones measured in March 2023. Liberal voters (90%) and voters of the Bloc Québécois (90%) are more likely to trust the results of the elections while, Conservative voters (24%) are more likely not to trust them.
* 41% of Canadians believe that the potential foreign electoral interference has limited impact and doesn’t significantly affect the overall election results, while 31% think that the potential interference is so significant that it greatly undermines the legitimacy of the election results. Conservative voters (46%) are more likely to believe that the potential foreign interference significantly compromises the legitimacy of the election results.
