NDP has a 5-point lead: Leger poll

Eby has highest individual favourability rating (46%) and best fit as premier (48%)

 

THE BC NDP (47%) has regained the lead in voting intention among decided voters over the Conservative Party of BC (42%) for a 5-point lead, according to the latest Leger poll conducted from October 3 to 6.

This reversal of fortunes is directly the result of the drop in the Conservative vote among 18-34 year-olds (47% to 38%) and women (42% to 34%).

Just less than nine in 10 (87%) BC residents indicate they are likely to vote, with nearly two-thirds (65%) indicating that they will “definitely vote.”

Eight in 10 (80%) decided voters report that they are not likely to switch their vote, while just above one in 10 (14%) indicate they are likely to do so. However, Conservative voters are more entrenched in their choice than NDP voters at this point.

Premier David Eby continues to have the highest individual favourability rating (46%) and best fit as premier (48%) rising a couple points while BC Conservative Leader John Rustad has stayed stagnant (38% for both).

BC residents whose top issue is healthcare are more likely to believe that Eby and the NDP have the best plan to deal with their priority issue (40%), while those whose top issue is economy are more likely to believe Rustad and the BC Conservatives have the best plan to address their priority issue (56%).

Regionally, NDP is leading in all three regions:

* Metro Vancouver: 47% as compared to BC Conservatives’ 44% and BC Greens’ 8%

* Vancouver Island: 49% as compared to BC Conservatives’ 34% and BC Greens’ 14%

* Rest of B.C.: 45% as compared to BC Conservatives’ 44% and BC Greens’ 7%

 

This web survey was conducted from October 3 to 6, 2024, with 1,002 British Columbians aged 18 or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey. For comparison, a probability sample of 1,002 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1 %, 19 times out of 20.

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