Liberals now have 10-point lead over Conservatives: Nanos weekly poll

23 October 2018

xx PM JUSTIN TRUDEAU — Justin Trudeau PMO photo

THE latest Nanos federal ballot tracking (October 19) has the Liberals at 39.5 per cent support, followed by the Conservatives at 29.4 per cent – a 10-point lead.

The NDP is at 16.9 percent, the Bloc Quebcois at 3.6 per cent, the Greens at 7 per cent and the newly formed People’s Party of Canada (PPC) at 1.4 per cent.

Asked whether they would consider voting for each of the federal parties, 51.7 per cent of Canadians say they would consider voting Liberal, while 45.7 per cent would consider voting Conservative. Roughly four in 10 (38.7%) would consider voting NDP, 31.9 per cent would consider voting Green, 11.9 per cent would consider voting for the People’s Party and 28.9 per cent would consider voting for the BQ.

Justin Trudeau remains the preferred choice as Prime Minister at 37.9 per cent of Canadians followed by Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer (22.9%), NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh (7.5%), Green Party Leader Elizabeth May (6.2%) and PPC Leader Maxime Bernier (2.5%). Twenty-one per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.

Almost six in 10 Canadians (59.2%) believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader, while 41 per cent believe Scheer has the qualities of a good political leader. One in three (35.3%) say Jagmeet Singh has the qualities of a good political leader, while 33.2 per cent believe the same about May. One in five (21.2%) believe Bernier has the qualities of a good political leader and one in five (22.1) said BQ Leader Mario Beaulieu has the qualities of a good political leader (Quebec only).

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation. The data is based on a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone interviews using live agents of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of 1,000 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Current data is for the four week period ending October 19, 2018.

A random telephone survey of 1,000 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.