THE latest Nanos federal ballot tracking (October 12) has the Liberals at 37.1 per cent support, followed by the Conservatives at 31.4 per cent, the NDP at 16.1 percent, the Bloc Quebecois at 3.7 per cent, the Greens at 7.2 per cent and the newly formed People’s Party of Canada (PPC) at 1.3 per cent.

Trudeau is the preferred choice as Prime Minister at 39.1 per cent of Canadians followed by Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer (23.4%), NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh (7.1%), Green Party Leader Elizabeth May (5.5%) and PPC Leader Maxime Bernier (3.1%). Twenty-one per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.

Almost six in 10 Canadians (58.6%) believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader while 43 per cent believe Scheer has the qualities of a good political leader. One in three (34.5%) say Jagmeet Singh has the qualities of a good political leader, while 32.9 per cent believe the same about May. One in five (20.8%) believe Bernier has the qualities of a good political leader and one in seven (17.2) said BQ Leader Mario Beaulieu has the qualities of a good political leader (Quebec only).

Asked whether they would consider voting for each of the federal parties, 52 per cent of Canadians say they would consider voting Liberal, while 44.1 per cent would consider voting Conservative. Roughly one in three (35.8%) would consider voting NDP, 30.3 per cent would consider voting Green, 11.2 per cent would consider voting for the People’s Party and 26.2 per cent would consider voting for the BQ.

The Forum Poll: Different result

In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among those decided and leaning, if an election were held today the Conservative party would secure support from 4 in 10 (41%), while the Liberals would secure support from about one-third (32%).   The NDP sees support from one-sixth (15%) and the Green party sees support from about 1 in 10 (7%).   Few say they are supporting either the BQ (4%) or another party (1%).

The Forum Poll projects these results would see a Conservative majority government with 184 seats. The Liberals would serve as opposition with 113 seats, and the NDP would serve as third party with 33 seats.   The BQ would win 7, and the Green Party would win 1.
The Forum Poll was conducted by Forum Research from October 7-10.