Liberals 38, Conservatives 30, NDP 19, Green 9: Nanos Research

Justin Trudeau
PMO photo

THE latest Nanos federal ballot tracking (February 9) has the Liberals at 38.1 per cent support, followed by the Conservatives at 30.4 per cent, the NDP at 18.5 percent, the Bloc Quebecois at 3.1 per cent and the Greens at 8.8 per cent.
Asked whether they would consider voting for each of the federal parties, 52.8 per cent of Canadians say they would consider voting Liberal while 45.6 per cent would consider voting Conservative. More than one in three (34.2%) would consider voting NDP while 28.1 per cent and 28.1 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the BQ and Green parties, respectively.
Nanos tracking has Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as the preferred choice as PM at 41.4 per cent of Canadians, followed by Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer (22.4%), NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh (8.5%) and Green Party Leader Elizabeth May (5.5%). Twenty-one per cent of Canadians were unsure who they preferred.
Six in ten Canadians (62.9%) believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader, while 36.1 per cent believe Scheer has the qualities of a good political leader. One in three Canadians (35.4%) say Jagmeet Singh has the qualities of a good political leader, while 38.7 per cent believe the same about May. One in four (23.5%) said BQ Leader Martine Ouellet has the qualities of a good political leader (Quebec only).

The survey is accurate plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.


  1. Interestingly, the trend in Quebec has seen a rise in conservative support for the first time in a while, with downward trend for the liberals. The Conservatives are polling #2 in that province, ahead of the NDP, Bloc, and Greens. I wonder if this has to do with the upcoming provincial election and the drop in provincial liberal support in favor of the uprising centre-right party.

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